Latvian electricity market overview

In October 2022, the average price of electricity in the Latvian trading area decreased to EUR 189,28 per megawatt hour (MWh), which is 46,1% less than in September, but compared to October 2021, the price is 77,9% higher.

Highlights in October:
  • In October, the total amount of electricity produced in Latvia was 220,014 MWh, which is 9,4% more than in September and 21% less than a year ago, while 572,414 MWh of electricity was consumed, which is 7,7% more than in September and by 6,8% less than a year ago;
  • In October, the historically highest wind energy development was achieved - wind power plants produced 28,045 MWh of electricity, or 106% more than in September and 61% more than a year ago. The increase is related to the start of work of all generators of the Tārgale wind power plant and more favorable weather conditions;
  • The amount of electricity produced in cogeneration has decreased significantly - in large stations it has decreased by 80,6%, and in stations with a capacity of up to 10 MW - by 89,5%, while the decrease compared to October 2021 is 84% ​​in large and 99% in small ones at stations;
  • Latvia's electricity consumption was covered by local generation in the amount of 38,4%, while the remaining required amount of electricity - 352,399 MWh was imported from neighboring countries;
  • The decrease in consumption is related to the previously observed increase in electricity prices - in August, the historically highest average monthly electricity price was reached since the opening of the market, which forced people to look for opportunities to reduce consumption in September and October;
  • Likewise, the reduction of listed consumption in households was facilitated by the installation of micro-generators or solar panels - if in the fall of 2021 the micro-generation capacity installed in Latvia was 16 MW, then this year - already 80 MW. Currently, according to the current procedure, only the amount of electricity transferred to the network is accounted for, but not all of that produced in microgeneration, part of which is consumed at the time of production, which in turn reduces the need for households to buy electricity from the network;
  • After the records of electricity prices in the summer months, in October, the drop in the monthly average electricity price experienced already in September continues, while the price differences in the Baltic countries decrease;
  • The decrease in prices both in the Baltics and in Europe is associated with gas prices, which are almost two times lower compared to May in October;
  • In October, after a longer break, electricity prices in the Baltics fell to a record low level of 8 cents per MWh in certain hours, but in the two interconnected Baltic trading areas - Finland and Sweden's 4th price area - a negative price was found - minus 0.99 EUR (traders even charged consumers extra for the use of electricity during this hour). Such prices are typical for periods of high wind farm development and low consumption at the same time, usually during nighttime storms.
ELECTRICITY GENERATION IN LATVIA OCTOBER 2022

Generation type

October 2022, MWh

Relative changes from the previous month

October 2021, MWh

Daugava Hydro

116 794

109%

90 896

Thermal*

16 984

-81%

105 661

Wind

28 045

106%

17 422

Cogeneration (up to 10 MW)

99

-89%

11 392

Biomass (up to 10MW)

34 067

61%

29 686

Biogas (up to 10MW)

20 534

4%

20 217

Small Hydro (up to 10 MW)

3 144

93%

3 643

Solar

348

-46%

146

Production (Total)

220 014

9%

279 064

* Rīgas TEC-1, Rīgas TEC-2, AS "Rīgas Siltums", SIA "Juglas Jauda", SIA "Fortum"

 

October 2022, MWh

Changes compared to previous month

October 2021, MWh

Electricity import to Latvian electricity grid[1] 

600 230

-8%

544 723

Export from Latvian electricity grid[2]

247 831

-22%

209 649

Net exchange SALDO

352 399

7%

335 074

 

October 2022, MWh

Changes compared to previous month

October 2021, MWh

Consumption in Latvia[3]

572 414

8%

614 138

Public consumption coverage with local generation

38%

 0,58 (percentage points)

45%

INTERCONNECTION LOAD AND ELECTRICITY PRICES

Price area

Average monthly price EUR/MWh

Changes compared with previous month

Average monthly price, October 2021 EUR/MWh

Lowest fixed hour price EUR/MWh

Highest fixed hour price EUR/MWh

Lowest fixed daily price EUR/MWh

Highest fixed daily price EUR/MWh

NP Finland

113,48

-47%

64,84

-0,99

530,67

4,28

261,60

NP Estonia

174,29

-23,9%

105,61

0,08

530,67

68,58

270,03

NP Latvia

189,28

-46,1%

106,40

0,08

530,67

68,58

286,28

NP Lithuania

189,33

-47,4%

108,91

0,08

530,67

68,58

286,28

NP Sweden (SE4)

74,15

-67%

86,2

-0,99

351,27

4,28

195,58

Poland

134,25

-24%

103,24

55,66

308,10

76,39

200,66

COMPARISON OF PRICES BETWEEN NEIGHMOURING PRICES AREAS

Comparable NP price areas

Hours with the same price (%)

Relative changes from the previous month (percentage points)

Hours with the same price (%), October 2021

NPS FI & EE

43%

-41,7

27%

NPS EE & LV

78,3%

50,9

98,3%

NPS LV & LT

100%

10,1

94%

NPS LT & SE4

4%

-13,8

48%

CONGESTION OF THE BALTIC INTERCONNECTIONS

Interconnections

Average month congestion %

Relative changes from the previous month (percentage points)

Lowest fixed daily congestion in the review period

Highest fixed daily congestion in the review period

LV -> LT

48%

-14

7,4%

81,0%

EE -> LV

84%

-12

27,6%

99,7%

LT -> LV

2%

1

0,0%

18,3%

PL->LT

26%

15

0,0%

82,6%

LT->PL

32%

-8

0,2%

91,7%

SE4->LT

100%

2

98,1%

100,0%

FI->EE

89%

9

44,1%

100,0%

LV>EE

0%

0

0,0%

0,8%

EE>FI

0%

0

0,0%

0,0%

LKAL>LT

0%

0

0,0%

0,0%

LT>SE4

0%

0

0,0%

0,0%

LRI>LV

0%

0

0,0%

0,0%

IMPORT OF ELECTRICITY TO THE BALTIC STATES

 

October 2022, MWh

Relative changes from the previous month

October 2021, MWh

Import from 3rd countries to the Baltic States

0

0%

312 290

Import from EU countries to Baltics, including:

1 195 634

13%

1 147 276

From Poland

95 329

151%

23 894

From Sweden

430 767

-2%

418 762

From Finland

669 538

15%

704 620

Balancing market in the Baltics
BALANCING ENERGY PRICES IN THE BALTICS

Imbalance price 

October 2022, EUR/MWh

Relative changes from the previous month

October 2021, EUR/MWh

Estonia

164,16

-46%

99,26

Latvia

165,77

-49%

99,29

Lithuania

165,91

-48%

99,79

HIGHEST AND LOWEST BID PRICES

 

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

 

Up

Down

Up

Down

Up

Down

Highest price, EUR/MWh

675

675

700

700

700

700

Lowest price, EUR/MWh

-190

-190

-190

-190

-190

-190

TOTAL ACTIVATED ENERGY BY COUNTRY, MWh

 

Upward

Downward

 

Total activated energy, MWh

Change compared to previous month, %

Total activated energy, MWh

Change compared to previous month, %

Estonia

1572

-39%

5897

103%

Latvia

3273

9%

3618

112%

Lithuania

9002

-10%

7915

44%

Finland

215

-89%

1765

-42%

Sweden

26

-91%

4712

82%

AVERAGE STANDARD BID AMOUNT IN HOUR, MW

 

Average standard bid amount in hour, MW

Change compared to the previous month

% of hours with no standard bids

 

Up

Down

Up

Down

Up

Down

Baltic states

807

319

7%

22%

0%

0%

Estonia

21

42

-4%

8%

2%

4%

Latvia

132

81

77%

170%

2%

35%

Lithuania

654

195

-1%

2%

0%

11%


Abbreviations and designations used:

LV - Latvia trade area, LT - Lithuania trade area, EE - Estonia trade area, PL - Poland trade area, FI - Finland trade area, SE4 - Sweden's fourth trade area, AT - Austrian trade area, BE - Belgium trade area, DE-LU - German- Luxembourg trade area, FR - France trade area, NL - the Netherlands trade area, DK1 and DK2 - Danish 1. and 2. trade area, LBI - Lithuania-Belarus Import trade area, LRI - Latvia-Russia import trade area.

Load = monthly total commercial flow in kWh / monthly total net transfer capacity in kWh ("Net Transfer Capacity" NTC).

Nord Pool is a Nordic electricity exchange where, based on market principles, the electricity price of the Latvian trading area is determined.

[1] Here and in the following review, electricity imports are not commercial transactions, but electricity that physically entered the network from other countries.

[2] Here and in the following review, electricity exports are not commercial transactions, but electricity physically transferred from the grid to other countries.

[3] According to the (ENTSO-E) definition, which does not include electrical self consumption.