Latvian electricity market overview

In February, the average price of electricity in Latvia increased by 14,1%, reaching 113,77 EUR/MWh (EUR per megawatt hour), which is significantly lower than the average price level of 2022 - 226,91 EUR/MWh.

Highlights in February:
  • Although the total amount of electricity produced in Latvia decreased by 25% in February compared to January, due to the high amount of electricity produced by the Daugava HPP, as well as the increase in large cogeneration stations, in February Latvia produced 18% more electricity than was consumed;
  • Thus, in February Latvia exported a total of 104 gigawatt hours of electricity to neighboring countries, which is less than in January, when 274 gigawatt hours of electricity were exported;
  • In February, the fall in Latvia continued and, in general, the amount of electricity produced by the Daugava HPP remains high, despite a 44% drop compared to January;
  • As gas prices continue to decrease, the production of electricity in large cogeneration stations has increased by 35%, while the development of small cogeneration stations (with a capacity of up to 10 megawatts) has increased by 116%;
  • In Latvia, since May 2022, the amount of electricity consumed has continued to decrease - compared to January, it decreased by 9%, and compared to February 2022 - by 3,7%, the decrease can be explained by the increase in the amount of microgeneration in households, as a result of which not everything is accounted for the amount of electricity consumed, as well as the increase in electricity prices, as a result of which consumers changed their electricity consumption habits;
  • After 2022, which was full of price fluctuations and anti-records, in January and February of this year, stabilization of prices can be observed in the Baltics - in January they were around 100 EUR/MWh, and in February - around 114 EUR/MWh;
  • Smaller price fluctuations were observed in the interconnected price zones of the Baltics - in Finland and Poland, prices increased by 1,7% and 3,2%, but in Sweden's 4th price area it decreased by 1,7%, price stabilization is also observed elsewhere in Europe;
  • Although no limits were set for the international transmission capacities from Sweden to Lithuania and from Finland to Estonia in February, they were still not sufficient to prevent congestion and price differences between regions.
ELECTRICITY GENERATION IN LATVIA FEBRUARY 2023

Generation type

February 2023, MWh

Relative changes from the previous month

February 2022, MWh

Daugava Hydro

359 528

-44%

307 743

Thermal*

246 612

35%

56 709

Wind

25 480

-24%

19 930

Cogeneration (up to 10 MW)

2 947

116%

15 353

Biomass (up to 10MW)

27 224

-19%

29 380

Biogas (up to 10MW)

18 423

-7%

17 385

Small Hydro (up to 10 MW)

9 409

-10%

9 894

Solar

201

298%

84

Production (Total)

689 824

-25%

456 478

* Rīgas TEC-1, Rīgas TEC-2, AS "Rīgas Siltums", SIA "Juglas Jauda", SIA "Gren Latvija"

 

February 2023, MWh

Changes compared to previous month

February 2022, MWh

Electricity import to Latvian electricity grid[1] 

194 919

8%

320 303

Export from Latvian electricity grid[2] 

299 258

-34%

168 543

Net exchange SALDO

104 339 (deficit)

-62%

151 760 (deficit)

 

February 2023, MWh

Changes compared to previous month

February 2022, MWh

Consumption in Latvia[3]

585 485

-9%

608 238

Public consumption coverage with local generation

118%

-25 (percentage points)

75%

INTERCONNECTION LOAD AND ELECTRICITY PRICES

Price area

Average monthly price EUR/MWh

Changes compared with previous month

Average monthly price, February 2022 EUR/MWh

Lowest fixed hour price EUR/MWh

Highest fixed hour price EUR/MWh

Lowest fixed daily price EUR/MWh

Highest fixed daily price EUR/MWh

NP Finland

78.76

-68%

106.71

0.05

242.00

17.92

136.81

NP Estonia

99.27

-62%

141.74

0.05

263.74

17.92

173.37

NP Latvia

99.74

-62%

143.81

0.05

263.74

17.92

173.37

NP Lithuania

103.06

-61%

145.87

0.05

263.74

17.92

188.64

NP Sweden (SE4)

93.34

-62%

105.77

0.05

263.74

17.92

188.64

Poland

132.50

-24%

143.85

5.17

211.44

45.02

186.96

COMPARISON OF PRICES BETWEEN NEIGHMOURING PRICES AREAS

Comparable NP price areas

Hours with the same price (%)

Relative changes from the previous month (percentage points)

Hours with the same price (%), February 2022

NPS FI & EE

59.1%

-6.3

47.6%

NPS EE & LV

98.3%

-1.1

95.6%

NPS LV & LT

91.9%

-6.9

95.3%

NPS LT & SE4

70.6%

13.7

41.3%

CONGESTION OF THE BALTIC INTERCONNECTIONS

Interconnections

Average month congestion %

Relative changes from the previous month (percentage points)

Lowest fixed daily congestion in the review period

Highest fixed daily congestion in the review period

LV -> LT

56.9%

-10.1

11.6%

85.9%

EE -> LV

54.5%

10.8

9.8%

91.3%

LT -> LV

0.5%

0.3

0.0%

8.7%

PL->LT

5.5%

2.3

0.0%

38.6%

LT->PL

76.9%

-10.2

30.4%

100.0%

SE4->LT

86.6%

5.1

41.0%

100.0%

FI->EE

89.4%

9.5

48.9%

100.0%

LV>EE

0.9%

0.5

0.0%

9.6%

EE>FI

0.0%

-0.1

0.0%

0.0%

LT>SE4

0.0%

-0.7

0.0%

0.2%

IMPORT OF ELECTRICITY TO THE BALTIC STATES

 

February 2023, MWh

Relative changes from the previous month

February 2022, MWh

Import from 3rd countries to the Baltic States

0

0.0%

245 275

Import from EU countries to Baltics, including:

1 036 079

1.7%

1 150 860

From Poland

11 870

-92.1%

54 802

From Sweden

420 315

6.1%

462 731

From Finland

603 894

28.0%

633 327

Balancing market in the Baltics
BALANCING ENERGY PRICES IN THE BALTICS

Imbalance price 

February 2023, EUR/MWh

Relative changes from the previous month

February 2022, EUR/MWh

Estonia

104.74

-16%

74.76

Latvia

104.74

-16%

74.76

Lithuania

104.74

-16%

74.76

HIGHEST AND LOWEST BID PRICES

 

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

 

Up

Down

Up

Down

Up

Down

Highest price, EUR/MWh

349

196.4

N/A

30

495

130

Lowest price, EUR/MWh

50

-88.7

N/A

0.01

53.2

-321

TOTAL ACTIVATED ENERGY BY COUNTRY, MWh

 

Upward

Downward

 

Total activated energy, MWh

Change compared to previous month, %

Total activated energy, MWh

Change compared to previous month, %

Estonia

2642

-6%

2858

27%

Latvia

0

-100%

2234

12%

Lithuania

7635

-37%

7575

55%

Finland

789

-17%

3210

-31%

Sweden

670

-60%

7324

-36%

AVERAGE STANDARD BID AMOUNT IN HOUR, MW

 

Average standard bid amount in hour, MW

Change compared to the previous month

% of hours with no standard bids

 

Up

Down

Up

Down

Up

Down

Baltic states

689

313

-1%

38%

0%

0%

Estonia

29

21

-5%

3%

0%

11%

Latvia

0

66

-100%

197%

100%

3%

Lithuania

660

226

2%

22%

0%

9%


Abbreviations and designations used:

LV - Latvia trade area, LT - Lithuania trade area, EE - Estonia trade area, PL - Poland trade area, FI - Finland trade area, SE4 - Sweden's fourth trade area, AT - Austrian trade area, BE - Belgium trade area, DE-LU - German- Luxembourg trade area, FR - France trade area, NL - the Netherlands trade area, DK1 and DK2 - Danish 1. and 2. trade area, LBI - Lithuania-Belarus Import trade area, LRI - Latvia-Russia import trade area.

Load = monthly total commercial flow in kWh / monthly total net transfer capacity in kWh ("Net Transfer Capacity" NTC).

Nord Pool is a Nordic electricity exchange where, based on market principles, the electricity price of the Latvian trading area is determined.

[1] Here and in the following review, electricity imports are not commercial transactions, but electricity that physically entered the network from other countries.

[2] Here and in the following review, electricity exports are not commercial transactions, but electricity physically transferred from the grid to other countries.

[3] According to the (ENTSO-E) definition, which does not include electrical self consumption.