Latvian electricity market overview

The most important events in the market in 2021
Price:
  • In contrast to the moderate and mild 2020 in terms of prices, in 2021 an increase in electricity prices was observed in Latvia from May, which set new historical monthly average price records every month since September, reaching 206,40 EUR/MWh in December;
  • The average electricity price in Latvia in 2021 reached 88,78 EUR/MWh, which is 2,6 times higher than the average price in 2020;
  • Electricity prices are rising throughout Europe: compared to last year, the rise in the reference price of the NordPool exchange zone system was even more significant than in Latvia - from 10,93 EUR/MWh in 2020 to 62,31 EUR/MWh in 2021;
  • On December 7, between 8:00 a.m. and 9:00 a.m., the highest ever hourly price of electricity was reached - 1000,07 EUR/MWh, but on December 7, the daily average price in the Baltic States and Finland reached the historically highest level - 469,03 EUR/MWh;
  • The increase in prices during the year was facilitated by a series of circumstances - multiple increases in gas prices and CO2 emissions quotas, lower development of wind power plants in Europe, less water inflow into reservoirs in Scandinavia, which reduced the amount of electricity produced by hydroelectric plants, and it had to be replaced by fossil resources;
  • As prices increase during 2021, a new price record for gas and CO2 emissions quotas was reached in December - 92,37 EUR/MWh and 80,10 EUR/tCO2, respectively. The price of gas in December was more than six times higher than a year ago, but the price of CO2 emission allowances has increased 2,4 times during 2021 - from 33,51 EUR/tCO2 in January to 80,10 EUR/tCO2 in December.
Generation and consumption in Latvia:
  • In 2021, 5 609 592 MWh of electricity was produced in Latvia, which is 1,8% more than a year ago, while Latvia's electricity consumption increased by 3,5%, reaching 7 382 226 MWh per year;
  • In Latvia in 2021, consumption was covered by local generation in the amount of 75,9% (a decrease of 1,3 percentage points), thus creating a deficit of 1 772 634 MWh imported from neighboring countries;
  • In the Daugava hydroelectric power stations, there is an increase in production by 4,2%, in large cogeneration stations - by 10,7% compared to 2020, while in other important types of production there is a decrease: in wind power stations, production is 20% less, in the contribution of small cogeneration stations, the trend observed for the last five years continues stable decline with a 26,9% drop in 2021, with biomass produced by 6,6% less, with biogas - by 15,3% less, while the amount produced in small hydroelectric power plants has decreased by 1,6%.
Import to the Baltic States:
  • In 2021, the import of electricity from third countries to the Baltics increased by 18,3% - 4 671 229 MW of electricity was imported, last year import from third countries was possible only through the Latvian - Russian interconnection;
  • Electricity produced in the European Union plays a significantly larger role in the Baltics - 10 576 386 MWh were imported from Finland, Sweden and Poland to the Baltics, which is 7,7% less than in 2020.
ELECTRICITY GENERATION IN LATVIA

Generation type

Year 2021, MWh

Relative changes from the previous month

Year 2020, MWh

Daugava Hydro

2 619 797

4,2%

2 514 338

Thermal*

1 925 652

10,7%

1 739 352

Wind

140 022

-20%

175 084

Cogeneration (up to 10MW)

225 425

-26,9%

308 543

Biomass (up to 10MW)

365 784

-6,6%

391 788

Biogas (up to 10MW)

261 969

-15,3%

309 070

Small Hydro (up to10MW)

68 575

-1,6%

69 671

Solar

2 369

16,2%

2 039

Production (Total)

5 609 592

1,8%

5 509 885

* Rīgas TEC-1, Rīgas TEC-2, AS "Rīgas Siltums", SIA "Juglas Jauda", SIA "Fortum"

 

Year 2021, MWh

Relative changes from the previous year

Year 2020 gads, MWh

Electricity import to Latvian electricity grid[1] 

4 666 370

11,8%

4 173 365

Export from Latvian electricity grid[2]

2 893 735 

13,6%

2 547 730

Net exchange SALDO

1 772 634
(deficit)

9%

1 625 635
(deficit)

 

Year 2021, MWh

Relative changes from the previous year

Year 2020, MWh

Latvian electricity consumption[3]

7 382 226

3,46%

7 135 520

Consumption share covered by local generation

75,9%

-1.3 (percentage points)

77,2%

INTERCONNECTION LOAD AND ELECTRICITY PRICES
Price area Average 2021 year price EUR/MWh Relative change compared to year 2020 Lowest fixed hour price EUR/MWh Highest fixed hour price EUR/MWh Lowest fixed daily price EUR/MWh Highest fixed daily price EUR/MWh
NP Finland 72,34 158% -1,41 1000,07 7,10 469,03
NP Estonia 86,73 157% -1,41 1000,07 7,10 469,03
NP Latvia 88,78 161% -1,41 1000,07 7,10 469,03
NP Lithuania 90,45 166% -1,41 1000,07 7,10 469,03
NP Sweden (SE4) 80,52 211% -1,97 626,06 7,10 413,48
COMPARISON OF PRICES BETWEEN NEIGHMOURING PRICES AREAS
Comparable NP price areas Hours with the same price in the year 2021 (%) Relative changes from the year 2017 (percentage points) Relative changes from the year 2018 (percentage points) Relative changes from the year 2019 (percentage points) Relative changes from the year 2020 (percentage points)
NPS FI & EE 60% -38,8 -34,8 -28,4 -7,4
NPS EE & LV 95% 12,7 20,7 0,5 -0,8
NPS LV & LT 93% -1,0 -4,5 -4,0 -5,1
NPS LT & SE4 69% 0,0 4,2 9,2 15,6
CONGESTION OF THE BALTIC INTERCONNECTIONS
Interconnections Average 2021 year congestion % Relative changes from the year 2020 (percentage points) Lowest fixed daily congestion in the year 2021 Highest fixed daily congestion in the year 2021 Lowest fixed daily congestion in the year 2020 Highest fixed daily congestion in the year 2020
 LV -> LT 49% 30 30,2% 66,5% 8,7% 36,9%
 EE -> LV 43% 2 9,0% 65,5% 22,8% 73,5%
 LBI -> LT - - - - 13,4% 56,7%
LT -> LV 1% -8 0,1% 3,4% 1,5% 15,4%
PL->LT 17% 5 0,8% 39,0% 27,5% 23,2%
LT->PL 41% -7 22,5% 62,7% 27,5% 64,2%
SE4->LT 61% -18 43,6% 92,3% 50,7% 95,2%
FI->EE 73% -2 50,4% 97,5% 53,6% 90,9%
LV>EE 3% -2 0,0% 8,9% 0,1% 11,1%
EE>FI 1% 0 0,0% 2,5% 0,0% 1,2%
LKAL>LT 98% 3 94,8% 99,9% 84,9% 99,8%
LT>SE4 3% 2 0,1% 81,9% 0,0% 7,8%
LRI>LV 86% 86 61,4% 99,0% 33,5% 40,8%
IMPORT OF ELECTRICITY TO THE BALTIC STATES
 

Year 2021, MWh

Relative changes from the previous year

Year 2020, MWh

Year 2019, MWh

Import from 3rd countries to the Baltic States[5]

4 671 229

18,3%

3 949 672

7 823 174

Import from EU countries to Baltics, inlcuding:

10 576 386

-7,7%

11 455 952

7 913 798

From Poland 684 146 49,4% 458 046 353 908
From Sweden 3 469 965 -23,9% 4 559 426 3 600 698
From Finland 6 422 275 -0,3% 6 438 480 3 959 191
Balancing market in the Baltics
BALANCING ENERGY PRICES IN THE BALTICS
 

Year 2021, EUR/MWh

Relative changes from the previous year

Imbalance price in the year 2020, EUR/MWh

Imbalance price in the year 2019, EUR/MWh

Imbalance price[7] in Estonia

91,61

-20%

37,70

47,06

Imbalance price in Latvia

92,07

-21%

37,84

47,74

Imbalance price in Lithuania

92,37

-21%

37,83

47,75

TOTAL ACTIVATED ENERGY BY COUNTRY, MWh
  Total activated energy by country in 2021, MWh Change compared to previous year Total activated energy by country in 2020, MWh Total activated energy by country in 2019, MWh
  Upward Downward Upward Downward Upward Downward Upward Downward
Estonia 27015 37321 -6% 99% 28138 14962 20413 22648
Latvia 48233 23442 47% 15% 34881 21065 28465 15676
Lithuania 92603 58524 38% 154% 71300 24041 55357 22454
Finland 17010 41272 -17% -51% 24578 97700 45462 110279
Sweden 17222 63736 8% 43% 15518 44682 22428 43950
AVERAGE STANDARD BID IN HOUR, MW
  Average standard bid amount in hour, MW Change compared to the year 2020 Average % of hours with no standard bids
  Up Down Up Down Up Down
Baltic states 726 352 143% 17% 0% 3%
Estonia 24 46 -41% 32% 0% 15%
Latvia 127 80 19% 14% 14% 41%
Lithuania 574 226 280% 15% 0% 15%

Abbreviations and designations used:

LV - Latvia trade area, LT - Lithuania trade area, EE - Estonia trade area, PL - Poland trade area, FI - Finland trade area, SE4 - Sweden's fourth trade area, AT - Austrian trade area, BE - Belgium trade area, DE-LU - German- Luxembourg trade area, FR - France trade area, NL - the Netherlands trade area, DK1 and DK2 - Danish 1. and 2. trade area, LBI - Lithuania-Belarus Import trade area, LRI - Latvia-Russia import trade area.

Imbalance is the difference between the planned and the amount of electricity physically transferred to or received from the system in a certain interval of the imbalance calculation. According to the Electricity Market Law (ETL), each market participant is responsible for self-inflicted imbalance.


[1] Here and in the following review, electricity imports are not commercial transactions, but electricity that physically entered the network from other countries.

[2] Here and in the following review, electricity exports are not commercial transactions, but electricity physically transferred from the grid to other countries.

[3] According to the (ENTSO-E) definition, which does not include electrical self consumption.

[4] Load = monthly total commercial flow in kWh / monthly total net transfer capacity in kWh ("Net Transfer Capacity" NTC).

[5] To the Baltic States, electricity imports from third countries (Russia and Belarus) take place on the Lithuanian-Belarus border (until 05.11.2019) (LT-LBI), the Lithuanian-Kaliningrad border (LT-LKAL) and Latvia-Russia (starting on 05.11.2019 ) borders (LRI>LV), according to NordPool data.

[6] Nord Pool is a Nordic electricity exchange where, based on market principles, the electricity price of the Latvian trading area is determined.

[7] As of January 1, 2018, imbalance prices are calculated according to the new methodology