The most important events in the market in 2021
Price:
- In contrast to the moderate and mild 2020 in terms of prices, in 2021 an increase in electricity prices was observed in Latvia from May, which set new historical monthly average price records every month since September, reaching 206,40 EUR/MWh in December;
- The average electricity price in Latvia in 2021 reached 88,78 EUR/MWh, which is 2,6 times higher than the average price in 2020;
- Electricity prices are rising throughout Europe: compared to last year, the rise in the reference price of the NordPool exchange zone system was even more significant than in Latvia - from 10,93 EUR/MWh in 2020 to 62,31 EUR/MWh in 2021;
- On December 7, between 8:00 a.m. and 9:00 a.m., the highest ever hourly price of electricity was reached - 1000,07 EUR/MWh, but on December 7, the daily average price in the Baltic States and Finland reached the historically highest level - 469,03 EUR/MWh;
- The increase in prices during the year was facilitated by a series of circumstances - multiple increases in gas prices and CO2 emissions quotas, lower development of wind power plants in Europe, less water inflow into reservoirs in Scandinavia, which reduced the amount of electricity produced by hydroelectric plants, and it had to be replaced by fossil resources;
- As prices increase during 2021, a new price record for gas and CO2 emissions quotas was reached in December - 92,37 EUR/MWh and 80,10 EUR/tCO2, respectively. The price of gas in December was more than six times higher than a year ago, but the price of CO2 emission allowances has increased 2,4 times during 2021 - from 33,51 EUR/tCO2 in January to 80,10 EUR/tCO2 in December.
Generation and consumption in Latvia:
- In 2021, 5 609 592 MWh of electricity was produced in Latvia, which is 1,8% more than a year ago, while Latvia's electricity consumption increased by 3,5%, reaching 7 382 226 MWh per year;
- In Latvia in 2021, consumption was covered by local generation in the amount of 75,9% (a decrease of 1,3 percentage points), thus creating a deficit of 1 772 634 MWh imported from neighboring countries;
- In the Daugava hydroelectric power stations, there is an increase in production by 4,2%, in large cogeneration stations - by 10,7% compared to 2020, while in other important types of production there is a decrease: in wind power stations, production is 20% less, in the contribution of small cogeneration stations, the trend observed for the last five years continues stable decline with a 26,9% drop in 2021, with biomass produced by 6,6% less, with biogas - by 15,3% less, while the amount produced in small hydroelectric power plants has decreased by 1,6%.
Import to the Baltic States:
- In 2021, the import of electricity from third countries to the Baltics increased by 18,3% - 4 671 229 MW of electricity was imported, last year import from third countries was possible only through the Latvian - Russian interconnection;
- Electricity produced in the European Union plays a significantly larger role in the Baltics - 10 576 386 MWh were imported from Finland, Sweden and Poland to the Baltics, which is 7,7% less than in 2020.
ELECTRICITY GENERATION IN LATVIA
Generation type |
Year 2021, MWh |
Relative changes from the previous month |
Year 2020, MWh |
---|---|---|---|
Daugava Hydro |
2 619 797 |
4,2% |
2 514 338 |
Thermal* |
1 925 652 |
10,7% |
1 739 352 |
Wind |
140 022 |
-20% |
175 084 |
Cogeneration (up to 10MW) |
225 425 |
-26,9% |
308 543 |
Biomass (up to 10MW) |
365 784 |
-6,6% |
391 788 |
Biogas (up to 10MW) |
261 969 |
-15,3% |
309 070 |
Small Hydro (up to10MW) |
68 575 |
-1,6% |
69 671 |
Solar |
2 369 |
16,2% |
2 039 |
Production (Total) |
5 609 592 |
1,8% |
5 509 885 |
* Rīgas TEC-1, Rīgas TEC-2, AS "Rīgas Siltums", SIA "Juglas Jauda", SIA "Fortum"
Year 2021, MWh |
Relative changes from the previous year |
Year 2020 gads, MWh |
|
---|---|---|---|
Electricity import to Latvian electricity grid[1] |
4 666 370 |
11,8% |
4 173 365 |
Export from Latvian electricity grid[2] |
2 893 735 |
13,6% |
2 547 730 |
Net exchange SALDO |
1 772 634 |
9% |
1 625 635 |
|
Year 2021, MWh |
Relative changes from the previous year |
Year 2020, MWh |
---|---|---|---|
Latvian electricity consumption[3] |
7 382 226 |
3,46% |
7 135 520 |
Consumption share covered by local generation |
75,9% |
-1.3 (percentage points) |
77,2% |
INTERCONNECTION LOAD AND ELECTRICITY PRICES
Price area | Average 2021 year price EUR/MWh | Relative change compared to year 2020 | Lowest fixed hour price EUR/MWh | Highest fixed hour price EUR/MWh | Lowest fixed daily price EUR/MWh | Highest fixed daily price EUR/MWh |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NP Finland | 72,34 | 158% | -1,41 | 1000,07 | 7,10 | 469,03 |
NP Estonia | 86,73 | 157% | -1,41 | 1000,07 | 7,10 | 469,03 |
NP Latvia | 88,78 | 161% | -1,41 | 1000,07 | 7,10 | 469,03 |
NP Lithuania | 90,45 | 166% | -1,41 | 1000,07 | 7,10 | 469,03 |
NP Sweden (SE4) | 80,52 | 211% | -1,97 | 626,06 | 7,10 | 413,48 |
COMPARISON OF PRICES BETWEEN NEIGHMOURING PRICES AREAS
Comparable NP price areas | Hours with the same price in the year 2021 (%) | Relative changes from the year 2017 (percentage points) | Relative changes from the year 2018 (percentage points) | Relative changes from the year 2019 (percentage points) | Relative changes from the year 2020 (percentage points) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
NPS FI & EE | 60% | -38,8 | -34,8 | -28,4 | -7,4 |
NPS EE & LV | 95% | 12,7 | 20,7 | 0,5 | -0,8 |
NPS LV & LT | 93% | -1,0 | -4,5 | -4,0 | -5,1 |
NPS LT & SE4 | 69% | 0,0 | 4,2 | 9,2 | 15,6 |
CONGESTION OF THE BALTIC INTERCONNECTIONS
Interconnections | Average 2021 year congestion % | Relative changes from the year 2020 (percentage points) | Lowest fixed daily congestion in the year 2021 | Highest fixed daily congestion in the year 2021 | Lowest fixed daily congestion in the year 2020 | Highest fixed daily congestion in the year 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LV -> LT | 49% | 30 | 30,2% | 66,5% | 8,7% | 36,9% |
EE -> LV | 43% | 2 | 9,0% | 65,5% | 22,8% | 73,5% |
LBI -> LT | - | - | - | - | 13,4% | 56,7% |
LT -> LV | 1% | -8 | 0,1% | 3,4% | 1,5% | 15,4% |
PL->LT | 17% | 5 | 0,8% | 39,0% | 27,5% | 23,2% |
LT->PL | 41% | -7 | 22,5% | 62,7% | 27,5% | 64,2% |
SE4->LT | 61% | -18 | 43,6% | 92,3% | 50,7% | 95,2% |
FI->EE | 73% | -2 | 50,4% | 97,5% | 53,6% | 90,9% |
LV>EE | 3% | -2 | 0,0% | 8,9% | 0,1% | 11,1% |
EE>FI | 1% | 0 | 0,0% | 2,5% | 0,0% | 1,2% |
LKAL>LT | 98% | 3 | 94,8% | 99,9% | 84,9% | 99,8% |
LT>SE4 | 3% | 2 | 0,1% | 81,9% | 0,0% | 7,8% |
LRI>LV | 86% | 86 | 61,4% | 99,0% | 33,5% | 40,8% |
IMPORT OF ELECTRICITY TO THE BALTIC STATES
Year 2021, MWh |
Relative changes from the previous year |
Year 2020, MWh |
Year 2019, MWh |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
Import from 3rd countries to the Baltic States[5] |
4 671 229 |
18,3% |
3 949 672 |
7 823 174 |
Import from EU countries to Baltics, inlcuding: |
10 576 386 |
-7,7% |
11 455 952 |
7 913 798 |
From Poland | 684 146 | 49,4% | 458 046 | 353 908 |
From Sweden | 3 469 965 | -23,9% | 4 559 426 | 3 600 698 |
From Finland | 6 422 275 | -0,3% | 6 438 480 | 3 959 191 |
Balancing market in the Baltics
BALANCING ENERGY PRICES IN THE BALTICS
Year 2021, EUR/MWh |
Relative changes from the previous year |
Imbalance price in the year 2020, EUR/MWh |
Imbalance price in the year 2019, EUR/MWh |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
Imbalance price[7] in Estonia |
91,61 |
-20% |
37,70 |
47,06 |
Imbalance price in Latvia |
92,07 |
-21% |
37,84 |
47,74 |
Imbalance price in Lithuania |
92,37 |
-21% |
37,83 |
47,75 |
TOTAL ACTIVATED ENERGY BY COUNTRY, MWh
Total activated energy by country in 2021, MWh | Change compared to previous year | Total activated energy by country in 2020, MWh | Total activated energy by country in 2019, MWh | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Upward | Downward | Upward | Downward | Upward | Downward | Upward | Downward | |
Estonia | 27015 | 37321 | -6% | 99% | 28138 | 14962 | 20413 | 22648 |
Latvia | 48233 | 23442 | 47% | 15% | 34881 | 21065 | 28465 | 15676 |
Lithuania | 92603 | 58524 | 38% | 154% | 71300 | 24041 | 55357 | 22454 |
Finland | 17010 | 41272 | -17% | -51% | 24578 | 97700 | 45462 | 110279 |
Sweden | 17222 | 63736 | 8% | 43% | 15518 | 44682 | 22428 | 43950 |
AVERAGE STANDARD BID IN HOUR, MW
Average standard bid amount in hour, MW | Change compared to the year 2020 | Average % of hours with no standard bids | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Up | Down | Up | Down | Up | Down | |
Baltic states | 726 | 352 | 143% | 17% | 0% | 3% |
Estonia | 24 | 46 | -41% | 32% | 0% | 15% |
Latvia | 127 | 80 | 19% | 14% | 14% | 41% |
Lithuania | 574 | 226 | 280% | 15% | 0% | 15% |
Abbreviations and designations used:
LV - Latvia trade area, LT - Lithuania trade area, EE - Estonia trade area, PL - Poland trade area, FI - Finland trade area, SE4 - Sweden's fourth trade area, AT - Austrian trade area, BE - Belgium trade area, DE-LU - German- Luxembourg trade area, FR - France trade area, NL - the Netherlands trade area, DK1 and DK2 - Danish 1. and 2. trade area, LBI - Lithuania-Belarus Import trade area, LRI - Latvia-Russia import trade area.
Imbalance is the difference between the planned and the amount of electricity physically transferred to or received from the system in a certain interval of the imbalance calculation. According to the Electricity Market Law (ETL), each market participant is responsible for self-inflicted imbalance.
[1] Here and in the following review, electricity imports are not commercial transactions, but electricity that physically entered the network from other countries.
[2] Here and in the following review, electricity exports are not commercial transactions, but electricity physically transferred from the grid to other countries.
[3] According to the (ENTSO-E) definition, which does not include electrical self consumption.
[4] Load = monthly total commercial flow in kWh / monthly total net transfer capacity in kWh ("Net Transfer Capacity" NTC).
[5] To the Baltic States, electricity imports from third countries (Russia and Belarus) take place on the Lithuanian-Belarus border (until 05.11.2019) (LT-LBI), the Lithuanian-Kaliningrad border (LT-LKAL) and Latvia-Russia (starting on 05.11.2019 ) borders (LRI>LV), according to NordPool data.
[6] Nord Pool is a Nordic electricity exchange where, based on market principles, the electricity price of the Latvian trading area is determined.
[7] As of January 1, 2018, imbalance prices are calculated according to the new methodology