Latvian electricity market overview

In November 2025, the average electricity price in the Latvian bidding area increased to EUR 110,94 per megawatt hour (EUR/MWh), which is 6% more than in October, while compared to November 2024, the price is 25% higher.

Highlights in November :
  • In November, the volume of electricity produced and delivered to the grid in Latvia increased by 46% compared to October, reaching 491 gigawatt-hours (GWh), which was the highest level of electricity generation since March of this year. Meanwhile, electricity consumption increased by 2% to 649 GWh. As a result, domestic electricity production was able to cover 75.67% of the country’s total electricity consumption, reaching the level last seen in August this year;
  • At the Baltic level, Latvia was the only country to record an increase in electricity generation, while production declined in Lithuania and Estonia. At the same time, electricity consumption in Latvia grew more slowly than in neighboring countries;
  • In November, electricity generation increased across all production technologies, with the exception of solar power plants. The most pronounced growth was recorded in hydropower generation, which increased by 113% compared to October, driven by higher river inflows. Electricity generation from natural gas–fired power plants also rose significantly, increasing by 47%, while wind power generation expanded by 31%.
  • In November, average electricity prices in the Baltic states increased by an average of 6% compared to October, reflecting the overall rise in electricity prices across Europe. The average electricity price in Latvia and Lithuania rose by 5,6% to 110,94 EUR/MWh, the highest level since February, while in Estonia the price increased by 7% to 95,93 EUR/MWh. Meanwhile, in most European bidding zones the price increase was much steeper;
  • The price difference between Latvia’s and Lithuania’s electricity prices and those in Estonia continues to be affected by transmission line maintenance works in Estonia, which limit the ability to transport cheaper Finnish electricity from Estonia to Latvia. According to the planned maintenance schedule, the works are expected to be completed in early 2027;
  • Price increases in the Baltic states were primarily driven by lower air temperatures, which led to higher electricity consumption, as well as significant volatility in renewable energy generation. In November, there was a clear direct correlation between the volume of electricity produced by wind farms and electricity prices: on days with low wind generation, electricity prices reached pronounced peaks, while during periods of high production, prices dropped significantly. A similar trend was observed on sunny days – when production in solar power plants increased, midday electricity prices were lower in certain hours compared to cloudy days;
  • Electricity imports to the Baltic states in November reached the highest level since July 2023, increasing by 33,4% compared to October. Imports from Sweden increased the fastest – by 71,6%. Electricity imports from Finland grew by 19,2%, while imports from Poland declined by 24,1%;
  • The number of 15-minute intervals with negative electricity prices increased to 14 intervals in both Latvia and Lithuania, while in Estonia it decreased to 29;
  • In November, the number of operations carried out in the Latvian GO Register decreased significantly – the number of issued Guarantees of Origin (GOs) fell by 67% compared to October, the number of cancelled GOs decreased by 84%, and the number of exported and internally transferred GOs dropped by 81% and 88% respectively.

Raw data can be downloaded here.

Electricity production and consumption balance in Latvia*
Production typeNovember 2025, MWhCompared to the previous month, %November 2024, MWh
Hydro219 449113%116 858
Fossil Gas202 75547%154 664
Wind17 61931%30 502
Biomass27 16514%27 255
Biogas9 0293%10 662
Solar14 610-70%6 678
Battery Energy Storage System (BESS)**559-14%0
Total production, including:491 18646%346 620
– In transmission grid438 10568%297 244
– In distribution grid  [1]53 081-30%49 376

* Here and in the following review, the electricity produced is the electricity injected into the grid and the electricity consumed is the electricity received from the grid for consumption.

** Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) are not considered a production type, as they store electricity received from the grid. When this electricity is fed back into the grid, it is included in the total production. 

** Fossil energy source – fossil gas; renewable energy sources – hydro, solar, wind, biogas and biomass.

 November 2025, MWhCompared to the previous month, %November 2024, MWh
Electricity import to Latvian electricity grid [2]440 878-2%474 102
Export from Latvian electricity grid [3]282 92383%203 714
Net exchange157 955 (deficit)-47%270 388 (deficit)
 November 2025, MWhCompared to the previous monthNovember 2024, MWh
Electricity consumption in Latvia [4]649 1412%617 008
Electricity consumption covered by local generation*76%23 (percentage points)56%
Balance of the electricity production and consumption in the Baltic States
 November 2025, MWhCompared to the previous month, %November 2024, MWh
 ProductionConsumptionProductionConsumptionProductionConsumption
Baltic States1 411 1702 467 561-3%7%1 414 7632 426 253
Estonia346 026713 280-1%6%404 610721 418
Latvia491 186649 14146%2%346 620617 008
Lithuania573 9581 105 140-25%10%663 5331 087 827
Interconnection load and electricity prices
Bidding areaAverage price in November 2025, EUR/MWhCompared to previous month, %Average price in November 2024, EUR/MWhLowest 15 minute interval price in November 2025, EUR/MWhHighest 15 minute interval price in November 2025, EUR/MWhLowest daily price in November 2025, EUR/MWhHighest daily price in November 2025, EUR/MWh
NPS Finland47.97-2%45.32-0.53304.740.98142.51
NPS Estonia95.937%82.55-0.53556.589.80236.93
NPS Latvia110.946%88.73-0.53690.0023.67269.07
NPS Lithuania110.946%88.64-0.53690.0023.67269.07
NPS Sweden (SE4)73.4313%72.97-4.80435.279.70223.45
Poland124.0518%120.53-1.35472.3467.77257.87

*Historical data up to 1 October 2025 for periods with negative electricity prices have been mathematically recalculated into 15-minute intervals for comparison purposes.

Price comparison between neighbouring bidding areas
Comparable bidding areas15 minute interval with the same price in November 2025, %Compared to previous month (percentage points)Hours with the same price in November 2024, %
NPS FI & EE13.4%2.130.9%
NPS EE & LV65.5%2.799.6%
NPS LV & LT100.0%0.0100.0%
NPS LT & SE46.9%6.819.9%
Load of the Baltic States interconnections
InterconnectionAverage load in November 2025, %Compared to previous month (percentage points)Lowest daily load in November 2025, %Highest daily load in November 2025, %
LV -> LT31.1%19.53.7%54.1%
EE -> LV84.2%6.726.7%98.9%
LT -> LV0.1%-9.80.0%1.4%
PL->LT29.8%-7.60.0%79.4%
LT->PL1.8%-44.20.0%20.6%
SE4->LT87.8%18.140.2%100.0%
FI->EE95.8%3.866.8%100.0%
LV>EE0.8%0.10.0%9.1%
EE>FI0.0%-0.0%0.0%
LT>SE452.4%50.07.1%100.0%
Electricity import to the Baltic States  [5]
 November 2025, MWhCompared to previous month, %November 2024, MWh
Import from EU countries, including:1 268 29833.4%1 118 474
From Poland32 778-24.1%75 804
From Sweden504 00071.6%405 808
From Finland731 52019.2%636 861
GUARANTEES OF ORIGIN (GOs)
Statistics of the activity in the Latvia Domain for GOs
Transaction typeNovember 2025, MWhCompared to previous month, %November 2024, MWh
Issued GOs165 951-66.7%200 646
Cancelled GOs17 372-83.7%111 230
Imported GOs20 971-74.0%57 376
Exported GOs107 725-80.9%54 664
GO Transfers internally63 002-87.8%108 052
Expired GOs1 966-31.0%471
BALANCING MARKET IN THE BALTIC STATES
Imbalance prices in the Baltic States
CountryImbalance price in November 2025, EUR/MWhCompared to previous month, %Imbalance price in November 2024, EUR/MWh
Estonia123.748%104.31
Latvia105.9455%126.54
Lithuania103.4653%71.50
Highest and lowest bid prices
 EstoniaLatviaLithuania
 UpwardDownwardUpwardDownwardUpwardDownward
Highest mFRR price, EUR/MWh2999485.521361500913.77180
Lowest mFRR price, EUR/MWh-0.22-49991-2497.5-150
Highest aFRR price, EUR/MWh496.18104.099001590079
Lowest aFRR price, EUR/MWh77.85-320.9933-330-300
Total activated energy
 UpwardDownward
 Activated energy in November 2025, MWhCompared to previous month, %Activated energy in November 2025, MWhCompared to previous month, %
Estonia mFRR12 62044%13 195-18%
Latvia mFRR2 23513%4 097-38%
Lithuania mFRR7 126-23%8 854-75%
Estonia aFRR2 449-18%2 100-24%
Latvia aFRR6 19321%8 089118%
Lithuania aFRR1 113-79%1 170-80%
Average 15 minutes standard bid size
 Average 15 minutes standard bid size in November 2025, MWCompared to previous month, %15 minutes with no standard bids in November 2025, %
 UpwardDownwardUpwardDownwardUpwardDownward
Estonia mFRR10915227%9%0%0%
Latvia mFRR212823%16%0%0%
Lithuania mFRR67960256%20%0%0%
Estonia aFRR2245-4%5%0%0%
Latvia aFRR85103103%119%0%0%
Lithuania aFRR4152-36%-34%0%0%

In case of any doubts, questions or inaccuracies, please contact us at [email protected]

The information contained in the Market Overview is provided for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing contained in the Market Overview is to be construed or used as a basis for investment or as a basis for any claims against AST. 


Abbreviations and designations used:

LV - Latvia trade area, LT - Lithuania trade area, EE - Estonia trade area, PL - Poland trade area, FI - Finland trade area, SE4 - Sweden's fourth trade area, AT - Austrian trade area, BE - Belgium trade area, DE-LU - German- Luxembourg trade area, FR - France trade area, NL - the Netherlands trade area, DK1 and DK2 - Danish 1. and 2. trade area.

Load = monthly total commercial flow in kWh / monthly total net transfer capacity in kWh ("Net Transfer Capacity" NTC).

The ENTSO-E Transparency Platform is a central collection and publication of electricity generation, transportation and consumption data and information for the pan-European market.

Guarantee of Origin (GO) is an electronic document, that proves the origin of the generated electricity. GOs are uniquely identifiable, transferable, and therefore tradable and used (by cancellation) to provide information of supplied energy to the end-consumer. One GO = 1 MWh generated and injected into the grid that has an expiration of 12 months after the end of the production period.

* Here and in the following review, the electricity produced is the electricity injected into the grid and the electricity consumed is the electricity received from the grid for consumption.

** Fossil energy source – fossil gas; renewable energy sources – hydro, solar, wind, biogas and biomass.

[1] In Latvia there are 10 distribution system operators – for more information visit https://www.sprk.gov.lv/content/pakalpojumu-sniedzeji-1

[2] Here as electricity imports are not commercial transactions, but electricity that has physically entered the network from other countries.

[3] Here as electricity exports are not commercial transactions, but electricity physically transferred from the network to other countries.

[4] According to the (ENTSO-E) definition, which does not include electrical self consumption.

[5] Here as electricity imports are commercial transactions.